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指数移动平均线穿越及上轨突破瞬时意图策略Moving-Average-Crossover-and-Upper-Rail-Breakthrough-Impulse-Strategy

ChaoZhang · PineScript · 趋势跟踪 · 2023-11-13 11:52:22

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概述

该策略利用指标MACD的快线和慢线的交叉信号,结合其他多个指标进行综合判断,在瞬时时机捕捉到指数移动平均线的突破信号,做出买入或卖出决策,属于短线交易策略。

策略原理

  1. 使用MACD的快线和慢线交叉作为主要交易信号。当快线上穿慢线时看涨入场,当快线下穿慢线时看跌入场。
  2. 结合RSI指标判断是否过买过卖。RSI低于中线时看涨,RSI高于中线时看跌。
  3. 计算当前收盘价与一定周期内的SMA均线作比较,收盘价低于SMA时看涨,收盘价高于SMA时看跌。
  4. 计算一定周期内的Highest值的0.5 Fibonacci位,作为看涨的阻力位。计算一定周期内的Lowest值的0.5 Fibonacci位,作为看跌的支撑位。
  5. 当满足快线上穿和价格低于支撑位时看涨入场,当满足快线下穿和价格高于阻力位时看跌入场。
  6. 采用逐步移动止损方式。入场后开始时止损位固定为开仓价格的一定百分比,当亏损达到一定比例后改为小幅逐步追踪止损。

优势

  1. 策略充分利用MACD的交叉信号,这是一种经典且有效的技术指标交易信号。
  2. 结合RSI、SMA等多个指标进行确认,可以过滤假信号,提高信号的可靠性。
  3. 计算动态支持阻力位,进行突破交易,可以捕捉较大行情。
  4. 采用逐步移动止损方式,既可锁住大部分利润,也可控制风险。
  5. 策略交易逻辑清晰简单,容易理解掌握,适合新手学习。

风险

  1. MACD指标存在滞后问题,可能会错过行情最佳买点卖点。
  2. 多指标组合判断增加了策略复杂度,容易出现指标冲突的情况。
  3. 动态计算支持阻力位存在错误突破的风险。
  4. 移动止损在大行情中可能过早止损,无法持续获利。
  5. 策略参数需要反复测试优化,不合适的参数会影响策略效果。

优化方向

  1. 可以测试不同参数组合,优化MACD周期参数。
  2. 可以引入更多指标,如布林线、KDJ等进行多维度分析。
  3. 可以结合更多因素判断支持阻力位的合理性。
  4. 可以研究更先进的移动止损机制,如时间止损、振荡止损等。
  5. 可以加入自动参数优化模块,实现参数的自动寻优。

总结

该策略综合运用MACD、RSI、SMA等多个指标,在瞬时时机捕捉到指数移动平均线的突破信号,属于典型的短线突破交易策略。策略信号生成有一定的滞后性,但可以通过参数优化提高准确率。总体来说,该策略交易逻辑简单清晰,容易掌握,表现稳健,适合大多数人学习使用,值得进一步的测试和优化。

参数

参数默认值说明
v_input_260Strategy Decision Time Frame
v_input_1BINANCE:BTCUSDT(?SYMBOL)Symbol
v_input_314(?ADX)ADX Smoothing
v_input_414ADX DI Length
v_input_530ADX EMA
v_input_619ADX CONSTANT
v_input_750(?FIBO MACD SMA)Fibo Look Back Canles
v_input_830SMA Look Back Candles
v_input_915MACD Fast Lenght
v_input_1030MACD Slow Lenght
v_input_119MACD Signal Smoothing
v_input_12100MACD Look Back Candles
v_input_132(?TP & SL)Trailing Long Stop %
v_input_142Trailing Short Stop %
v_input_152Long Profit Start %
v_input_162Short Profit Start %
v_input_173Max Long Stop Loss (%)
v_input_182.5Max Short Stop Loss (%)
v_input_19100Long Take Profit (%)
v_input_20100Short Take Profit (%)
v_input_2195(?CAPITAL TO INVEST)Capital Percentage to Invest (%)
源码(201 行)
/*backtest
start: 2023-11-05 00:00:00
end: 2023-11-09 23:00:00
period: 1m
basePeriod: 1m
exchanges: [{"eid":"Futures_Binance","currency":"BTC_USDT"}]
*/

// This source code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at https://mozilla.org/MPL/2.0/
// © onurenginogutcu

//@version=4
strategy("R19 STRATEGY", overlay=true, calc_on_every_tick=true , margin_long=100, margin_short=100 ,  process_orders_on_close=true )



sym = input(title="Symbol", type=input.symbol, defval="BINANCE:BTCUSDT" , group = "SYMBOL") 
timeFrame = input(title="Strategy Decision Time Frame", type = input.resolution ,  defval="60")

adxlen = input(14, title="ADX Smoothing" , group = "ADX")
dilen = input(14, title="ADX DI Length", group = "ADX")
adxemalenght = input(30, title="ADX EMA", group = "ADX")
adxconstant = input(19, title="ADX CONSTANT", group = "ADX")

fibvar = input (title = "Fibo Look Back Canles" , defval = 50 , minval = 0 , group = "FIBO MACD SMA")
smaLookback = input (title = "SMA Look Back Candles" , defval = 30 , minval = 0 , group = "FIBO MACD SMA")
MACDFast = input (title = "MACD Fast Lenght" , defval = 15 , minval = 0 , group = "FIBO MACD SMA")
MACDSlow = input (title = "MACD Slow Lenght" , defval = 30 , minval = 0 , group = "FIBO MACD SMA")
MACDSmooth = input (title = "MACD Signal Smoothing" , defval = 9 , minval = 0 , group = "FIBO MACD SMA")
MACDLookback = input (title = "MACD Look Back Candles" , defval = 100 , minval = 0 , group = "FIBO MACD SMA")

trailingStopLong = input (title = "Trailing Long Stop %" , defval = 2.0 , step = 0.1, group = "TP & SL") * 0.01
trailingStopShort = input (title = "Trailing Short Stop %" , defval = 2.0 , step = 0.1 , group = "TP & SL") * 0.01
LongTrailingProfitStart = input (title = "Long Profit Start %" , defval = 2.0 , step = 0.1 , group = "TP & SL") * 0.01
ShortTrailingProfitStart = input (title = "Short Profit Start %" , defval = 2.0 , step = 0.1, group = "TP & SL") * 0.01

lsl = input(title="Max Long Stop Loss (%)",
     minval=0.0, step=0.1, defval=3.0, group = "TP & SL") * 0.01
     
ssl = input(title="Max Short Stop Loss (%)",
     minval=0.0, step=0.1, defval=2.5, group = "TP & SL") * 0.01
     
longtp = input(title="Long Take Profit (%)",
     minval=0.0, step=0.1, defval=100, group = "TP & SL") * 0.01
     
shorttp = input(title="Short Take Profit (%)",
     minval=0.0, step=0.1, defval=100, group = "TP & SL") * 0.01
     
capperc = input(title="Capital Percentage to Invest (%)",
     minval=0.0, maxval=100, step=0.1, defval=95, group = "CAPITAL TO INVEST") * 0.01
     

symClose = security(sym, timeFrame, close)
symHigh = security(sym, timeFrame, high)
symLow = security(sym, timeFrame, low)

atr = atr (14) 

/////////adx code

dirmov(len) =>
	up = change(symHigh)
	down = -change(symLow)
	plusDM = na(up) ? na : (up > down and up > 0 ? up : 0)
	minusDM = na(down) ? na : (down > up and down > 0 ? down : 0)
	truerange = rma(tr, len)
	plus = fixnan(100 * rma(plusDM, len) / truerange)
	minus = fixnan(100 * rma(minusDM, len) / truerange)
	[plus, minus]
adx(dilen, adxlen) =>
	[plus, minus] = dirmov(dilen)
	sum = plus + minus
	adx = 100 * rma(abs(plus - minus) / (sum == 0 ? 1 : sum), adxlen)
sig = adx(dilen, adxlen)
emasig = ema (sig , adxemalenght )


////////adx code over



i = ema (symClose , MACDFast) - ema (symClose , MACDSlow) 
r = ema (i , MACDSmooth)

sapust = highest (i , MACDLookback) * 0.729 
sapalt = lowest (i , MACDLookback) * 0.729  


simRSI = rsi (symClose , 50 ) 




fibtop = lowest (symLow , fibvar) + ((highest (symHigh , fibvar) - lowest (symLow , fibvar)) * 0.50)
fibbottom = lowest (symLow , fibvar) + ((highest (symHigh , fibvar) - lowest (symLow , fibvar)) * 0.50)





cond1 = 0
cond2 = 0
cond3 = 0
cond4 = 0


longCondition = crossover(i, r) and i < sapalt and sig > adxconstant and symClose < sma (symClose , smaLookback) and simRSI < sma (simRSI , 50) and symClose < fibbottom 
shortCondition = crossunder(i, r) and i > sapust and sig > adxconstant and  symClose > sma (symClose , smaLookback) and simRSI > sma (simRSI , 50) and symClose > fibtop 


//////////////////////probability long/short
if (crossover(i, r) and i < sapalt)
    cond1 := 35
else if (crossunder(i, r) and i > sapust)
    cond1 := -35
else
    cond1 := 0
    
if (symClose < sma (symClose , smaLookback))
    cond2 := 30
else if (symClose > sma (symClose , smaLookback))
    cond2 := -30
else
    cond2 := 0
    
if (simRSI < sma (simRSI , 50))
    cond3 := 25
else if (simRSI > sma (simRSI , 50))
    cond3 := -25
else
    cond3 := 0
    
if (symClose < fibbottom)
    cond4 := 10
else if (symClose > fibbottom)
    cond4 := -10
else
    cond4 := 0
    
probab = cond1 + cond2 + cond3 + cond4
////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

///////////////////////////////////////////STRATEGY ENTRIES AND STOP LOSSES /////
var startTrail = 0
var trailingLongPrice = 0.0
var trailingShortPrice = 0.0

if (longCondition and strategy.position_size == 0)
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long , qty = capperc * strategy.equity / close )

if (shortCondition and strategy.position_size == 0)
    strategy.entry("Short" , strategy.short , qty = capperc * strategy.equity / close )
    
    
if (strategy.position_size == 0)    
    trailingShortPrice := 0.0
    trailingLongPrice := 0.0  
    startTrail := 0
/////////////////////////////////strategy exit

if (strategy.position_size > 0 and close >= strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + LongTrailingProfitStart))
    startTrail := 1

if (strategy.position_size < 0 and close <= strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - ShortTrailingProfitStart))
    startTrail := -1
    



trailingLongPrice := if strategy.position_size > 0 and startTrail == 1
    stopMeasure = close * (1 - trailingStopLong)
    max (stopMeasure , trailingLongPrice [1])
else if strategy.position_size > 0 and startTrail == 0
    strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - lsl)


trailingShortPrice := if strategy.position_size < 0 and startTrail == -1
    stopMeasure = close * (1 + trailingStopShort)
    min (stopMeasure , trailingShortPrice [1])
else if strategy.position_size < 0 and startTrail == 0
    strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + ssl)




if (strategy.position_size > 0)
    strategy.exit("Exit Long", "Long", stop = trailingLongPrice , limit=strategy.position_avg_price*(1 + longtp))
 

if (strategy.position_size < 0)
    strategy.exit("Exit Short", "Short", stop = trailingShortPrice , limit=strategy.position_avg_price*(1 - shorttp))


////////////////////////vertical colouring signals
bgcolor(color=longCondition ? color.new (color.green , 70) : na)
bgcolor(color=shortCondition ? color.new (color.red , 70) : na)

plot (trailingLongPrice , color = color.green) ///long price trailing stop
plot (trailingShortPrice , color = color.red) /// short price trailing stop
plot (startTrail , color = color.yellow)
plot (probab , color = color.white) ////probability